Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000217 0.000243 0.000270 0.000301 0.000336 0.000375 0.000419
2025-02-02 0.000187 0.000223 0.000264 0.000314 0.000373 0.000442 0.000527
2025-02-09 0.000161 0.000203 0.000253 0.000318 0.000399 0.000499 0.000629
2025-02-16 0.000141 0.000186 0.000244 0.000321 0.000423 0.000554 0.000734
2025-02-23 0.000123 0.000170 0.000232 0.000320 0.000440 0.000601 0.000833
2025-03-02 0.000108 0.000155 0.000220 0.000315 0.000451 0.000640 0.000923
2025-03-09 0.000097 0.000144 0.000211 0.000313 0.000465 0.000684 0.001023
2025-03-16 0.000087 0.000135 0.000204 0.000313 0.000481 0.000731 0.001131
2025-03-23 0.000080 0.000127 0.000198 0.000314 0.000498 0.000780 0.001248
2025-03-30 0.000073 0.000119 0.000191 0.000312 0.000510 0.000821 0.001354
2025-04-06 0.000068 0.000114 0.000188 0.000315 0.000528 0.000875 0.001484
2025-04-13 0.000063 0.000109 0.000184 0.000316 0.000545 0.000926 0.001613
2025-04-20 0.000057 0.000102 0.000177 0.000312 0.000553 0.000966 0.001732
2025-04-27 0.000055 0.000100 0.000179 0.000325 0.000592 0.001062 0.001957
2025-05-04 0.000052 0.000097 0.000177 0.000329 0.000616 0.001132 0.002144
2025-05-11 0.000048 0.000093 0.000174 0.000333 0.000638 0.001203 0.002337
2025-05-18 0.000045 0.000088 0.000169 0.000332 0.000651 0.001257 0.002505
2025-05-25 0.000041 0.000083 0.000163 0.000326 0.000656 0.001296 0.002645
2025-06-01 0.000038 0.000079 0.000158 0.000325 0.000667 0.001348 0.002818
2025-06-08 0.000036 0.000076 0.000155 0.000325 0.000682 0.001409 0.003012
2025-06-15 0.000034 0.000073 0.000152 0.000326 0.000700 0.001476 0.003227
2025-06-22 0.000032 0.000070 0.000148 0.000324 0.000710 0.001527 0.003412
2025-06-29 0.000030 0.000067 0.000146 0.000326 0.000730 0.001604 0.003659